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Can AI forecast elections better than experts?

This is a synthetic preview. The offices, states and districts are real.

Hacker News 最新il2026/10/28 · 3 天前1 分钟阅读

以下正文同步自 Hacker News 最新,版权归原站所有,已转换为易读排版。

This is a synthetic preview. The offices, states and districts are real.

BallotBench 2026 midterm forecasts

Can AI forecast elections better than experts and crowds?

BallotBench is a project of

The agents' average seat forecast, their chance of control, and each forecaster's call next to Kalshi and Polymarket.

Races that Kalshi or Polymarket list, ranked by the gap between the agents' average and the markets' average.

Each works alone in its own sandbox. Open a trace to see what it searched, read and ran.

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